ACR Messina vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
REG
0 - 1
MES
78%
15%
6%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MES
2 - 2
LRO
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SSB
1 - 0
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
PON
3 - 1
MES
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
MES
1 - 2
BV5
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 0
LEC
9%
20%
72%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
JUS
1 - 1
MAT
72%
17%
10%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 1
PAG
43%
27%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 1
LRO
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 0
MAT
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |