ACR Messina vs Martina Franca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 1
MES
50%
26%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
NUO
25%
25%
51%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
USF
2 - 0
MES
72%
19%
10%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MES
1 - 2
ASM
46%
26%
28%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIG
2 - 1
MES
47%
28%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Martina Franca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
SSB
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ASM
0 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
FCS
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
RAA
2 - 0
MAR
32%
28%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
LRO
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |