ACR Messina vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FCI
3 - 0
MES
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MES
0 - 3
BAR
10%
23%
67%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
CIT
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 1
FCI
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ISO
1 - 8
MES
10%
19%
71%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
ROC
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 0
MAR
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
GEL
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 2
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAR
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |