ACR Messina vs Lupa Cast Rom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FIA
0 - 1
MES
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MES
2 - 1
MAT
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
ISC
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 1
MES
42%
28%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MES
2 - 0
NUO
24%
25%
52%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Lupa Cast Rom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LCR
0 - 4
USF
26%
24%
51%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LCR
2 - 1
PAG
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FIA
2 - 0
LCR
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LCR
2 - 3
MON
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ASM
1 - 1
LCR
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |