ACR Messina vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
MES
1 - 0
USA
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 0
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
LEC
0 - 3
MES
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
MES
0 - 0
VER
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
MES
3 - 0
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
ASL
1 - 3
LEC
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
CAG
4 - 0
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 0
PAD
33%
29%
38%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
ASL
1 - 1
SSS
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |