ACR Messina vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
MES
1 - 2
TRE
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
MOD
2 - 0
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
ATP
2 - 0
MES
62%
21%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
MES
4 - 1
FAN
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
MES
2 - 0
ACM
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
ASL
1 - 1
FAN
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
ASS
2 - 2
ASL
47%
24%
28%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
ASL
1 - 1
VIC
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
VER
3 - 0
ASL
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
ASL
1 - 2
GEN
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |