ACR Messina vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
22.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1966 |
REG
4 - 0
MES
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
NOV
2 - 0
MES
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
MES
4 - 1
POT
43%
30%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
TOR
4 - 0
MES
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
MOD
2 - 1
MES
46%
29%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
SAV
0 - 1
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
LIV
0 - 0
NOV
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 0
LIV
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 2
REG
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
SAM
3 - 0
LIV
58%
26%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |