ACR Messina vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
BOL
3 - 0
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
MES
0 - 0
SPE
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
RAV
1 - 0
MES
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MES
2 - 0
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 2
MES
35%
26%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 2
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
ABN
0 - 4
LEC
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 1
MAN
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
RAV
1 - 3
LEC
21%
26%
53%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 1
PIS
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |