ACR Messina vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
PAD
4 - 0
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
MES
0 - 2
BRE
48%
30%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
UDI
1 - 0
MES
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
PES
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 2
MES
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
LEC
3 - 1
TAR
64%
23%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
PAL
1 - 0
LEC
24%
29%
46%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
LEC
1 - 1
PIS
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
LEC
2 - 1
MOD
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |