ACR Messina vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
26.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
PIA
2 - 0
MES
50%
27%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
MES
2 - 2
SSS
57%
26%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
MOD
2 - 1
MES
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
MES
2 - 0
ARZ
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
BAR
2 - 0
MES
53%
28%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
LEC
2 - 0
FCC
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
USC
0 - 1
LEC
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
LEC
1 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
UDI
2 - 2
LEC
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
LEC
3 - 1
TRI
61%
25%
14%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |