ACR Messina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
PAD
2 - 1
MES
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
MES
4 - 2
BOL
48%
24%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
CAM
55%
22%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
MES
3 - 1
SPA
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
VER
2 - 1
MES
91%
7%
3%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
FCC
5 - 0
LAZ
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
LAZ
1 - 0
LEC
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
LAZ
3 - 5
JUV
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |