ACR Messina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
32.2%
Draw
0-0
16.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.2%
25.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
POT
47%
29%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
MES
2 - 0
LIV
38%
32%
31%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
ASS
2 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
PAD
38%
32%
30%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PAL
45%
32%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
LAZ
2 - 2
REG
44%
30%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 0
LAZ
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
VER
1 - 0
LAZ
52%
29%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
LAZ
0 - 2
LIV
52%
29%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |