ACR Messina vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
MAN
0 - 0
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 1
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1961 |
MES
0 - 2
FIO
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
MES
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
MES
1 - 0
ACP
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
PAL
5 - 0
VER
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 0
VER
56%
23%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
PRO
3 - 1
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
VER
1 - 0
PAR
67%
19%
15%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
VER
1 - 1
COM
61%
21%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |