ACR Messina vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
BRE
2 - 1
MES
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
CAG
1 - 0
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
MES
2 - 0
TAR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
CAT
1 - 0
MES
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
BAR
1 - 0
MES
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
VER
2 - 0
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
USA
3 - 1
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
VER
1 - 0
PRO
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SSS
0 - 2
VER
49%
23%
28%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
VER
0 - 0
ASS
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |