ACR Messina vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
CAG
3 - 1
MES
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
PAD
4 - 2
MES
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
MES
1 - 0
CAT
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
SIR
0 - 0
MES
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
MES
3 - 0
ASL
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
SIR
2 - 1
VER
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
VER
2 - 0
UNI
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
BRE
0 - 0
VER
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
VER
0 - 1
VIC
61%
22%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
GEN
2 - 0
VER
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |