ACR Messina vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1952 |
ATP
1 - 4
MES
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1952 |
LIV
1 - 0
MES
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
MES
0 - 1
SIR
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
CAT
0 - 1
MES
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
MES
2 - 1
SAL
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1952 |
CAT
1 - 1
VER
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1952 |
VER
2 - 0
JUS
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
VNZ
1 - 0
VER
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
VER
0 - 1
TRE
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 0
VER
48%
23%
29%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |