ACR Messina vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1951 |
CAT
1 - 2
MES
55%
21%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
MES
0 - 1
BAR
64%
19%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
VIC
1 - 0
MES
61%
20%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
SAL
0 - 3
MES
56%
21%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
MES
1 - 0
VNZ
62%
19%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1951 |
SIR
1 - 0
VER
61%
19%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
VER
2 - 2
MOD
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
TRE
0 - 0
VER
55%
21%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
VER
1 - 0
BRE
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
VER
4 - 2
ANC
77%
14%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |