ACR Messina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
PRG
2 - 1
MES
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
MES
2 - 4
REG
33%
30%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
PAL
3 - 0
MES
56%
26%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
MES
0 - 2
CAT
34%
30%
36%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
MES
0 - 0
VER
42%
30%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
GEN
3 - 1
VER
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
CAT
1 - 1
GEN
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAD
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
POT
0 - 2
GEN
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |