ACR Messina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
TOR
1 - 0
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
MES
1 - 0
MAN
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
MES
1 - 0
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
INT
4 - 0
MES
78%
15%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
FIO
0 - 1
MES
76%
16%
9%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
BAR
1 - 2
GEN
45%
28%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
VIC
1 - 0
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
GEN
1 - 1
TOR
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
GEN
1 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |