ACR Messina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1953 |
ASS
1 - 1
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
MES
2 - 1
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
MES
2 - 0
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
VIC
2 - 2
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
VER
2 - 1
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1953 |
SIR
1 - 1
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
FAN
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
ASS
0 - 1
GEN
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
GEN
0 - 0
TRE
62%
21%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
BRE
3 - 0
GEN
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |