ACR Messina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
ACM
0 - 0
MES
57%
21%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
VER
2 - 0
MES
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
MES
2 - 0
ATP
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
MES
3 - 1
LIV
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
SIR
1 - 3
MES
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
SIR
2 - 1
GEN
37%
23%
39%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
GEN
2 - 0
VIC
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASS
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
MOD
1 - 0
GEN
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
GEN
2 - 0
FAN
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |