ACR Messina vs Gela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
31.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 0
MES
41%
23%
35%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TUR
2 - 1
MES
48%
25%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MES
0 - 3
ACI
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
MES
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CCI
2 - 2
MES
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GEL
5 - 1
ROC
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ROT
2 - 4
GEL
18%
19%
63%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 2
NOC
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
GEL
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
MES
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |