ACR Messina vs Cosenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
MES
1 - 1
VNZ
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 0
MES
55%
25%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
MES
2 - 2
CAG
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
LIV
4 - 1
MES
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
MES
1 - 1
ANC
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
COS
3 - 1
CAT
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
VNZ
0 - 2
COS
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
COS
0 - 0
ANC
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
CAG
3 - 0
COS
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
COS
0 - 3
TER
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |