ACR Messina vs Cosenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
PAD
5 - 1
MES
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
MES
1 - 1
SAL
52%
28%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
REG
4 - 1
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
MES
1 - 0
PES
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
41%
30%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
TRI
2 - 2
COS
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
COS
2 - 0
PAD
44%
31%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
UDI
4 - 0
COS
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
COS
0 - 0
BRE
47%
31%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
REG
0 - 0
COS
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |