ACR Messina vs Cosenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
BAR
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
MES
2 - 0
FCC
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
COM
2 - 0
MES
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
LAZ
5 - 1
MES
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
MES
2 - 0
BRE
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
USF
1 - 0
COS
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
COS
1 - 1
BRE
46%
28%
27%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 0
COS
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
LEC
1 - 0
COS
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
COS
1 - 2
PAR
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |