ACR Messina vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
MES
0 - 0
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
GEN
3 - 0
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
ACP
0 - 0
MES
51%
26%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
VER
0 - 0
MES
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
MES
0 - 0
PRO
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
PRO
0 - 0
FCC
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
FCC
1 - 3
VER
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
FCC
1 - 0
BRE
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
FCC
1 - 1
REG
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
FCC
2 - 1
ASS
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |