ACR Messina vs Fanfulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
MES
2 - 0
ACM
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
SAL
3 - 1
MES
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
JUS
1 - 2
MES
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
MES
0 - 0
ASS
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
MOD
3 - 0
MES
59%
21%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
FAN
2 - 1
VER
61%
20%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
FAN
2 - 2
CAG
36%
23%
41%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
PIS
0 - 1
FAN
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
MOD
2 - 2
FAN
60%
21%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
FAN
1 - 1
ASS
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |