ACR Messina vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
36.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2002 |
PAL
1 - 0
MES
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 0
MES
38%
29%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
MES
1 - 3
SAL
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
VIC
2 - 2
MES
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
MES
0 - 0
GEN
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
COM
0 - 1
SIE
61%
25%
14%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
TER
0 - 0
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
COM
1 - 0
MOD
42%
29%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
ANC
1 - 1
COM
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
COM
2 - 0
COS
56%
26%
19%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |