ACR Messina vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
23.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 0
MES
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
MES
0 - 0
SSB
61%
23%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
COS
2 - 0
MES
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
USF
3 - 1
MES
27%
31%
43%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
MES
1 - 1
LIC
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
COM
0 - 0
REG
58%
27%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
CAG
1 - 0
COM
37%
34%
29%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
COM
1 - 2
AVE
45%
29%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 0
COM
40%
32%
28%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
SSB
1 - 0
COM
37%
32%
31%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |