ACR Messina vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 0
MES
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
TAR
1 - 0
MES
36%
29%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
REG
0 - 0
MES
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
MES
1 - 1
PAL
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 2
MES
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CAT
3 - 2
GEN
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
CAT
1 - 3
COS
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
BAR
4 - 0
CAT
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
CAT
0 - 0
CRO
47%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAT
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |