ACR Messina vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
35.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
MES
0 - 0
VER
42%
30%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
USF
2 - 1
MES
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
MES
1 - 1
BAR
41%
31%
29%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
MES
0 - 1
NOV
45%
30%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MES
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
CAT
2 - 0
MOD
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
REG
1 - 4
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAT
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
CAT
1 - 0
PAD
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
CAT
1 - 2
PAL
59%
26%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |