ACR Messina vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
38.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
ARZ
2 - 0
MES
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
SAM
0 - 0
MES
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1966 |
PIS
0 - 0
MES
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
MES
2 - 0
USA
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
SAV
70%
21%
9%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
CAT
1 - 1
PAD
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
CAT
3 - 0
REG
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
SAM
2 - 0
CAT
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 3
CAT
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
CAT
2 - 0
VER
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |