ACR Messina vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
MES
2 - 0
VNZ
38%
30%
32%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 0
MES
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
CAG
5 - 0
MES
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
MES
1 - 0
ACP
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
MES
0 - 1
ACM
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
CAT
1 - 0
ACP
68%
19%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
CAT
1 - 1
VNZ
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
MOD
2 - 2
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
TRI
4 - 1
CAT
57%
23%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
CAT
2 - 0
TAR
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |