ACR Messina vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
22.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
BAR
3 - 1
MES
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
MES
1 - 3
VIC
61%
20%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
MES
2 - 1
SAL
58%
21%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
VNZ
4 - 2
MES
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
PIS
0 - 1
MES
63%
18%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 4
SPA
46%
22%
32%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
SPE
55%
21%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
TRE
3 - 2
CAT
63%
19%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
VNZ
2 - 1
CAT
64%
19%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
CAT
3 - 0
REG
52%
22%
27%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |