ACR Messina vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 0
MES
32%
28%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MES
4 - 2
GAV
75%
17%
9%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
NUO
0 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MES
2 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
USP
1 - 2
MES
30%
28%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARZ
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
USF
1 - 1
CAS
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
TER
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
APR
2 - 1
CAS
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 3
VIG
70%
19%
10%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |