ACR Messina vs Campobasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
MES
3 - 1
SPA
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
VER
2 - 1
MES
91%
7%
3%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
MES
0 - 1
CES
47%
24%
30%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
MES
0 - 0
CAM
50%
28%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 0
MES
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Campobasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
CAM
1 - 2
CES
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
CAM
1 - 0
SPA
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
BOL
2 - 0
CAM
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
MES
0 - 0
CAM
50%
28%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
CAM
2 - 1
MOD
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |