ACR Messina vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
SAL
0 - 0
MES
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
PES
0 - 1
MES
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
MES
0 - 0
BRE
54%
28%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
USC
0 - 0
MES
50%
26%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
PAD
3 - 0
COS
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
PAD
1 - 0
ASC
31%
31%
38%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
REG
2 - 0
PAD
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
PAD
0 - 0
USF
43%
29%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
BRE
0 - 0
PAD
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |