ACR Messina vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
15.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
SSB
3 - 0
MES
37%
30%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
MES
1 - 0
COS
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
MES
0 - 2
USF
57%
26%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
LIC
1 - 1
MES
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
MES
0 - 0
PIS
36%
30%
33%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
PAD
2 - 0
ASS
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAD
59%
26%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
PAD
0 - 0
AVE
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
REG
4 - 0
PAD
49%
30%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
PAD
1 - 1
TRI
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |