ACR Messina vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
28.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
MES
2 - 0
REG
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
FCC
2 - 0
MES
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
SAL
0 - 2
MES
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
REG
0 - 1
MES
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
GEN
3 - 1
MES
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
POT
1 - 0
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
PAD
2 - 0
REG
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
PAD
0 - 0
LIV
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
PAD
2 - 1
VNZ
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAD
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |