ACR Messina vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
FCC
1 - 1
MES
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
VNZ
2 - 1
MES
52%
27%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
MES
2 - 0
LEC
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
MES
0 - 0
MAN
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
USA
1 - 0
MES
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
PAD
1 - 2
VNZ
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
PAD
0 - 2
PRO
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
GEN
2 - 2
PAD
62%
23%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
PAD
1 - 0
USA
57%
24%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAD
59%
25%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |