ACR Messina vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
VER
0 - 0
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
PRO
2 - 0
MES
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
MES
2 - 1
TRI
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
MES
3 - 2
UDI
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
CAG
1 - 1
MES
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
LEC
2 - 0
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
LAZ
0 - 0
LEC
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
LEC
2 - 1
USA
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
FCC
0 - 0
LEC
50%
26%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
USF
2 - 2
LEC
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |