ACR Messina vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
MES
3 - 0
CAG
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
ACP
0 - 0
MES
53%
22%
25%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ACM
4 - 0
MES
62%
21%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
PRO
2 - 2
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
SSS
2 - 1
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
LEC
0 - 0
COM
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
CAG
2 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
LEC
0 - 0
SSS
59%
20%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
LEC
0 - 2
CAS
49%
22%
30%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
LEC
1 - 0
COM
46%
22%
32%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |