ACR Messina vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
25%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1990 |
TOR
3 - 0
MES
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
MES
1 - 1
PAR
44%
29%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
39%
31%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
MES
1 - 2
PAD
59%
26%
15%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
SSB
3 - 0
MES
37%
30%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1990 |
CAG
1 - 1
TRI
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
PIS
2 - 2
CAG
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 1
CAG
47%
29%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
CAG
2 - 0
PES
39%
28%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
COM
0 - 1
CAG
43%
31%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |