ACR Messina vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1955 |
ACM
3 - 1
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
PAV
2 - 1
MES
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
MES
2 - 1
COM
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
MES
1 - 0
USA
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
TRE
0 - 2
MES
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1955 |
CAG
1 - 1
TAR
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
PAL
3 - 3
CAG
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
CAG
1 - 1
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAD
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
PAR
1 - 2
CAG
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |