ACR Messina vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
MES
0 - 1
FAN
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
VER
1 - 1
MES
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
MES
2 - 0
ACM
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
MES
1 - 0
COM
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
PAD
0 - 0
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
CAG
2 - 0
BRE
62%
20%
17%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 1
PAV
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
CAG
0 - 0
FAN
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
MOD
1 - 1
CAG
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
USA
1 - 1
CAG
49%
24%
28%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |