ACR Messina vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
MES
1 - 0
PAD
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 1
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
MES
2 - 1
SIR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 1
MES
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
TRE
1 - 0
MES
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
VIC
3 - 3
CAG
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
CAG
1 - 1
ATP
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 2
UNI
68%
18%
15%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
BRE
3 - 2
CAG
35%
24%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
ASS
1 - 0
CAG
30%
23%
47%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |