ACR Messina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
22.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
UDI
1 - 0
MES
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
PES
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 2
MES
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
VNZ
1 - 0
MES
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
MES
1 - 1
CES
40%
30%
30%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
BRE
2 - 0
MOD
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 0
BOL
37%
30%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
PAD
0 - 0
BRE
59%
25%
16%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 2
LEC
36%
30%
34%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 2
ACM
18%
30%
52%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |