ACR Messina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
REG
2 - 2
MES
28%
32%
40%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
MES
2 - 0
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
CES
1 - 4
MES
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 1
MES
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
MES
2 - 1
TOR
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
BRE
1 - 1
TOR
19%
29%
52%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
BRE
0 - 0
COM
36%
33%
31%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
ANC
0 - 0
BRE
47%
30%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
BRE
1 - 3
USC
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
BRE
3 - 1
MES
43%
31%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |