ACR Messina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 0
MES
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MES
2 - 1
RAV
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MES
1 - 0
AVE
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
PIA
0 - 1
MES
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
MES
1 - 2
PIS
62%
23%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 0
GRO
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
VIC
0 - 1
BOL
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
ASC
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOL
28%
29%
44%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 0
ABN
58%
24%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |