ACR Messina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
29.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
MES
3 - 2
VNZ
48%
28%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
CES
0 - 0
MES
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 0
MES
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
MES
2 - 0
PIS
32%
29%
40%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
BOL
1 - 0
TAR
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
COS
0 - 1
BOL
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
BOL
2 - 3
CAS
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
ANC
0 - 2
BOL
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
BOL
1 - 1
VNZ
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |